Weather Analysis: Season’s first big snowfall is likely in Kashmir valley
Curious to know how much snow will fall in Kashmir coming week? Here is detailed ZT Outlook
Ziraat Times Weather Monitoring
Srinagar, Jan 1: Season’s first big snowfall is likely in Kashmir valley, Chenab and Upper Pirpanjal valleys, Kargil-Zanaskar regions and upper parts of Ladakh starting from coming Tuesday and culminating on Friday and Saturday in some parts of the state.
According to Ziraat Times Weather Outlook, a major moisture bearing cloud system – which is presently resulting in precipitation in parts of Mediterranean and Persian Gulf countries of Egypt, Syria, UAE and Iran – is likely to proceed with greater moisture intensity towards Afghanistan, northern Pakistan and northern India coming week, resulting in season’s major snowfall in Kashmir.
Due to unusually higher temperature in the lower atmosphere, plain areas might also experience rainfall and sleet during this period.
Farmers are advised to plan their orchard and other farming activities accordingly.
Based on the analysis of multiple data by Ziraat Times related to the likely extent of cloud cover and density, wind speeds and direction probabilities, humidity and temperature differentials, here is the detailed weather outlook for 2 Jan – 7 Jan, 2022:
DAY WISE AND AREA WISE OUTLOOK –
Sunday – 2 Jan: While most of the plains areas are likely to be dry, parts of Southern Kashmir, including outer Himalayas parts, upper Kishtwar, Upper Doda and Upper Bhaderwah areas are likely to witness light snowfall.
Monday – 3 Jan: Monday during day time is likely to be dry in most parts of J&K. Snowfall is possible during evening time in some parts of Kashmir valley and upper Chenab valley areas mainly Upper Kishtwar, Upper Bhaderwah, Sonamarg, Zojila Pass areas, Wadwan and Kargil-Zanaskar areas.
Tuesday – 4 Jan: Mountains and upper areas of South Kashmir including Anantnag, Kulgam and Shopian districts, particularly Verinag, Pahalgam, Kulgam, Damhal Hanjipora, Kapran, Shopian, Pir ki Gali, Bafliaz areas, Chenab, Upper Pirpanchal areas, Kargil, Drass, Zanaskar and parts of Ladakh are also likely to experience moderate to heavy snowfall on Tuesday. Kashmir valley plains are likely to witness sleet or light snowfall.
Wednesday – 5 Jan: Most parts of Kashmir valley and upper Pirpanjal valley and upper Chenab valley areas mainly Upper Kishtwar, Upper Bhaderwah, Wadwan, Sonamarg-Zojila areas and Kargil-Zanaskar areas are likely to receive moderate to heavy snowfall. Some plain areas might witness rainfall/sleet.
Thursday – 6 Jan: Again, most parts of Kashmir valley and upper Pirpanjal valley and upper Chenab valley areas mainly Upper Kishtwar, Upper Bhaderwah, Wadwan and Kargil-Zanaskar areas are likely to receive moderate to heavy snowfall.
Friday – 7 Jan: On Friday, light snowfall might occur early in the day in parts of Kashmir valley and upper Pirpanjal valley and upper Chenab valley areas mainly Upper Kishtwar, Upper Bhaderwah, Wadwan Sonamarg-Zojila and Kargil-Zanaskar areas.
Jammu plains are likely to receive moderate to heavy rainfall during this period.
Friday onwards a separate weather outlook will be issued.
ESTIMATED SNOWFALL LIKELY TO OCCUR AREA WISE (4 – 7 January, 2022)
According to the analysis of varied weather data by Ziraat Times, the following is the estimated snowfall to occur area wise in J&K during the coming week.
North Kashmir areas of Baramulla, Kandi Baramulla, Rafiabad, Sopore, Bandipora, Lolab Valley, Razdan Pass, Gurez, Kupwara, Sadhna Pass are likely to receive rainfall and snowfall ranging between 8 inches to 3 feet.
Central Kashmir valley plains, including Srinagar city, Zabarwan range, Dara-Harwan, Dachigam Park and Mahadev mountain areas, Tral-Shikargah areas, Ganderbal, Kangan, Sindh valley and Sonamarg are likely to receive 6 inches to 3 feet of snowfall.
In Ganderbal diatrict, Kangan-Sindh valley, Sonamarg, Zojila and surrounding areas, Kargil-Zanaskar areas 1 foot to 3 feet snowfall is likely.
The Southern parts of Kashmir valley in Anantnag, Kulgam and Shopian districts, Verinag, Kokernag, Margan Top, Pahalgam, Kulgam, Damhal Hanjipora, Kapran, Shopian, Pir ki Gali, Bafliaz areas, are likely to receive between one foot to 3 feet of snow.
Central Karewa (wudur) and Pirpanjal areas in Budgam, including Khan Sahab and surrounding kandi areas, Doodhpathri, Chrar Sharief belt, Tosamaidan, Pulwama, Baramulla districts along the range from Yusmarg, Gulmarg and Kandi Baramulla would receive 1.5 feet to 3 feet of snowfall.
Upper Bhaderwah, Upper Kishtwar, upper Doda, Sinthan Top, Margan Top and Wadwan valley would receive snowfall between 2 feet to 4 feet.
Banihal, upper parts of Ramban, upper Rajouri and Poonch would receive snowfall ranging between 1 feet to 3 feet.
Note: Ziraat Times issues weather forecasts/outlooks in the interest of farmers and the general public to address the need for specific and detailed geographical forecasts. ZT forecasts are based on the analysis of multiple weather data – including cloud movement models associated with the westerly jet and localized cloud formation, temperature and wind speed differential models within J&K and surrounding regions, past weather patterns and traditional knowledge.
It may be noted that we do not rely on online weather portals for their predictions and, therefore, we avoid issuing long and medium term forecasts, which are mostly unreliable.
While maximum care is taken in generating this information, and most times our forecasts are accurate; at times, the forecast might not go as anticipated. We advise discretion in using this information.